Last updated Jan. 6, 2021, 4:41 p.m. EST

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306Biden

Trump 232

Last updated Jan. 6, 2021, 4:41 p.m. EST

50Dems

GOP 50

222Dems

GOP 211

Presidential swing states
Other important races

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No races have been called.

What we know now

Where things stand

Pres. vote counted

157.2 mil

  • DAriz.(11 electors)
  • IFla.(29)
  • JGa.(16)
  • LIowa(6)
  • UMaine 2nd district(1)
  • VMich.(16)
  • WMinn.(10)
  • aN.C.(15)
  • dN.H.(4)
  • cNeb. 2nd district(1)
  • gNev.(6)
  • iOhio(18)
  • lPa.(20)
  • qTexas(38)
  • vWis.(10)

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Updates about tonights races

Our chat has started, but there isnt any relevant analysis for this race yet. Heres a taste of what’s going on elsewhere:

Taking Biden at face value about Michigan and Wisconsin — where, for what its worth (not that much), the exit poll data looks pretty good for him and he came in with a significant polling lead — heres where the map goes: If Biden wins those two, plus Maine, Nevada and Arizona, but nothing else, hes at 269 electoral votes. Which means hes a Nebraska-02 (where hes currently leading) away from hitting 270 on the number, WITHOUT Pennsylvania and Maines 2nd District.

7 p.m. EST

  • 60 Electoral votes
  • 5 Senate seats
  • 48 House seats

The first batch of states fully close, including Georgia, a burgeoning battleground state. Polls also close in almost all of Florida, minus a slice of the panhandle in the Central Time Zone. Most counties in Florida are expected to release their early and absentee votes quickly, so a large slice of the vote could be reported during the 7 p.m. hour.

7:30 p.m. EST

  • 38 Electoral votes
  • 2 Senate seats
  • 32 House seats

Two more key battlegrounds close at 7:30: North Carolina and Ohio. Both are expected to report most of their votes during election night.

8 p.m. EST

  • 172 Electoral votes
  • 11 Senate seats
  • 137 House seats

A large tranche of states close at 8 p.m. Eastern, including two major battlegrounds: Florida and Pennsylvania. But while we expect Florida to count almost all its votes, a verdict in Pennsylvania is unlikely on Tuesday night. Like Pennsylvania, Michigan — where polls in almost the entire state will close at 8 p.m. — will likely need more than one night to count its ballots. Polls also close in most of Texas, which is expected to count quickly.

8:30 p.m. EST

  • 6 Electoral votes
  • 1 Senate seat
  • 4 House seats

Arkansas is the only state to close its polls at this mark — though were not expecting any surprises from the solidly Republican state.

9 p.m. EST

  • 145 Electoral votes
  • 10 Senate seats
  • 119 House seats

Polls close in five battleground states at 9 p.m. Arizona is required by law to wait one hour before releasing election results. Michigan and Wisconsin are expected to count more slowly.

10 p.m. EST

  • 32 Electoral votes
  • 3 Senate seats
  • 22 House seats

Two more battleground states close at 10 p.m.: Iowa and Nevada. Each is worth just six electoral votes, but both have been tightly contested this year.

11 p.m. EST

  • 78 Electoral votes
  • 2 Senate seats
  • 70 House seats

The 11 p.m. hour will undoubtedly bring at least 65 electoral votes to Joe Biden’s column, even if Oregon isn’t called immediately. Eyes will be on other competitive states where counting is nearing its close, and there’s a slim chance we could know a nationwide winner.

12 a.m. EST

  • 4 Electoral votes
  • 2 House seats

Polls close in Hawaii and nearly all of Alaska at midnight Eastern.

1 a.m. EST

  • 3 Electoral votes
  • 1 Senate seat
  • 1 House seat

Alaskas outlying islands close their polls, bringing Election Day — though not the tallying of votes — to a close.

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