BAYTEX Stock Future Price Prediction

BTE -  Canada Stock  

CAD 0.54  0.01  1.89%

BAYTEX ENERGY CORP stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of BAYTEX ENERGY shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of BAYTEX ENERGYs future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of BAYTEX ENERGY and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from BAYTEX ENERGYs fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with BAYTEX ENERGY CORP, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.

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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of BAYTEX ENERGY based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The BAYTEX stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on BAYTEX ENERGY over a specific investment horizon. Using BAYTEX ENERGY hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BAYTEX ENERGY CORP from the perspective of BAYTEX ENERGY response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

BAYTEX ENERGY Operating Margin is quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The companys current value of Operating Margin is estimated at 5.99. Cash and Equivalents Turnover is expected to rise to 374.93 this year, although the value of Long Term Debt to Equity will most likely fall to 0.55.

This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in BAYTEX ENERGY. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in BAYTEX ENERGY to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying BAYTEX because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

BAYTEX ENERGY after-hype prediction price

    

  $ 0.54  

There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of BAYTEX ENERGYs price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of BAYTEX ENERGY in the context of predictive analytics.

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BAYTEX ENERGY. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BAYTEX ENERGYs peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BAYTEX ENERGYs competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in BAYTEX ENERGY CORP.

BAYTEX ENERGY After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of BAYTEX ENERGY at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BAYTEX ENERGY or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of BAYTEX ENERGY, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.

      Expected price to next headline 

BAYTEX ENERGY Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting BAYTEX ENERGYs stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BAYTEX ENERGYs historical news coverage. BAYTEX ENERGYs after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.54 and 0.54, respectively. We have considered BAYTEX ENERGYs daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this methods predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.

Current Value

0.54

31st of August 2021

BAYTEX ENERGY is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BAYTEX ENERGY CORP is based on 3 months time horizon.

BAYTEX ENERGY Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as BAYTEX ENERGY is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BAYTEX ENERGY backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular companys price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BAYTEX ENERGY, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.00  0.00  0.00   0.00  0 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.540.540.00 

BAYTEX ENERGY Hype Timeline

BAYTEX ENERGY CORP is currently traded for 0.54on Toronto Stock Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. BAYTEX estimated not to react to the next headlinewith price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of about 0.0%. The immediate return on the next newsis estimated to be very small whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to BAYTEX ENERGY is about 0.0%. The volatility of related hype on BAYTEX ENERGY is about 0.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 0.54. About 14.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.79. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. BAYTEX ENERGY CORP recorded a loss per share of 4.97. The entity next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 19th of August 2015. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimatedpress releasewill be in 5 to 10 days.

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BAYTEX ENERGY Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to BAYTEX ENERGYs direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BAYTEX ENERGYs future price movements. Getting to know how BAYTEX ENERGY rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BAYTEX ENERGY may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

BAYTEX ENERGY Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine BAYTEX price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BAYTEX using various technical indicators. When you analyze BAYTEX charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About BAYTEX ENERGY Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of BAYTEX ENERGY stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as BAYTEX ENERGY CORP, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a textbook version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BAYTEX ENERGY based on analysis of BAYTEX ENERGY hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

We also calculate exposure to BAYTEX ENERGYs market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to BAYTEX ENERGYs related companies.

 2018 2020 2021 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.690.560.55
Interest Coverage0.480.560.57

Story Coverage note for BAYTEX ENERGY

The number of cover stories for BAYTEX ENERGY depends on current market conditions and BAYTEX ENERGYs risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BAYTEX ENERGY is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BAYTEX ENERGYs long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

BAYTEX ENERGY Short Properties

BAYTEX ENERGYs future price predictability will typically decrease when BAYTEX ENERGYs long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BAYTEX ENERGY CORP often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BAYTEX ENERGYs investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BAYTEX ENERGYs indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Shares Percent Shares Out3.28%
Float Shares556.38M
Shares Short Prior Month19.88M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.55M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month3.53M
Date Short Interest30th of October 2020

Continue to Trending Equities. Note that the BAYTEX ENERGY CORP information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other BAYTEX ENERGYs statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.

Other Tools for BAYTEX Stock

When running BAYTEX ENERGY CORP price analysis, check to measure BAYTEX ENERGYs market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BAYTEX ENERGY is operating at the current time. Most of BAYTEX ENERGYs value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BAYTEX ENERGYs future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BAYTEX ENERGYs price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BAYTEX ENERGY to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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